McGrath is far behind in an uphill state. The most likely way to dethrone McConnell is to win 4 of these seats. Here are the Dems and their poll margins. GA: Ossoff -4.3 MT: Bullock -2.0 IA: Greenfield +0.3 NC: Cunningham +3.6 ME: Gideon +6.2 AZ: Kelly +6.7 CO: Hickenlooper +8.2